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Showing posts with label Electoral. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Electoral. Show all posts

Saturday, 3 November 2012

Electoral College

The Electoral College is composed of "electors" which have been appointed by each of the various states. It is these electors who actually select the President and Vice President. There are a total of 538 electors appointed in each election as specified by the Constitution. We must understand that in the case of the Electoral College we are not voting directly for our leaders but rather it is an indirect election. The downfall of this system is that the electors may vote for anyone they so desire and are not obligated to any specific candidate.

Initially the proposal for electing our leaders was based upon a procedure known as the "Virginia Plan" which called for the president to be elected by the Legislature similar to how the British selects their Prime Minister. Recommendations were made later that the elections be accomplished by a group of citizens apportioned amongst the states. This effectively eliminated any direct voting by the people for their leaders since the founding fathers considered the common man as incapable of making intelligent political decisions.

Naturally those delegates from the smaller states were greatly in favor of this system since it gave them equal clout with the larger states. The proposal was readily agreed upon and placed into operation.

The method by which the Electoral College functions is initially each state is allocated a specific number of Electors which equate to the number of its Representatives in both house of congress. Prior to the elections each party will submit to their State's election officials a roster of individuals who have made a commitment for the party's candidate. The electors are voted on by the people and supposedly the party which wins the most popular votes wins all of the Electors for that State.

The electoral votes are transmitted from the State to the President of the Senate at which time they are opened and read before both houses of Congress. The candidate who gains the most electoral votes is usually declared the president.

I am a firm believer that our present method using the Electoral College is archaic and outdated and should be eliminated. I am in complete favor of allowing a direct election by the people for the president. I defend this position first off on the premises that it is an undemocratic method which provides those swing states a disproportionate influence when selecting our President and Vice President. In the past the closest that we have actually come to abolishing the Electoral College occurred in 1968 when the presidential election concluded with President Nixon acquiring 301 of the electoral votes as opposed to his opponent Hubert Humphrey and his mere 191. The problem encountered was that Nixon had received only 511,944 additional popular which was only 1 percent of the national total.

Representative Emanuel Celler introduced the House Joint Resolution 681 which proposed an amendment abolishing the Electoral College. The proposal was approved in April of 1969 by the House Judiciary Committee. To make a long story short the bill was set aside as a result of a filibuster in 1971 and never reconsidered.

Additional arguments which I propose to support elimination of the Electoral College include not just the disproportional voting power provided to some states but also the indirect election process along with the winner-takes-method being used. With this indirect election process we have essentially made our national popular vote irrelevant. Our current system supports the premise that the winner of the presidential popular vote could actually lose in the Electoral College votes as displayed in the 1876, 1888 and 2000 elections.

As an example it is entirely possible for a candidate to win an election by merely winning eleven states. If a candidate were to win the following states:

California 55 votes
Texas 38 votes
New York 29 votes
Florida 29 votes
Illinois 20 votes
Pennsylvania 20 votes
Ohio 18 votes
Michigan 16 votes
Georgia 16 votes
North Carolina 15 votes
New Jersey 14 votes

270 votes

This would equal to 270 votes which is enough to win the presidential election.

One disadvantage which is usually overlooked is the shortcomings related to the nation's third-party candidates. With our winner-take-all method of allocating the various states' electors it tends to decrease the importance and possible selection of the minor political parties.

In conclusion, I contend that by the use of the Electoral College we have disrupted our normal understanding of how our democratic system should be functioning. America was founded upon the election of their representatives "by the people" and with our present system this will of the people has been suppressed.

Copyright @2012 Joseph Parish

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An Electoral Vote Tie in 2012? It's a Possibility

Over 200 years ago in 1800 was when the last electoral-vote tie occurred. Electors simply could not decide between Thomas Jefferson and Aaron Burr for the 1800 presidential election.

Replace Jefferson and Burr with Romney and Obama, and one may just see the same occur in this election.

Chances of an electoral tie for the presidential election are clearly few and far in between, but an electoral-vote tie between Obama and Romney is a very real possibility this November 6. Recent polls have shown Romney neck and neck with the incumbent as the race nears its end, but American voters may not even choose the next president depending on which direction battleground swing states head.

For instance: Obama holds every state he won in 2008 along with Virginia and Colorado. Romney manages to retain every state John McCain won in 2008, in addition to gaining Indiana and North Carolina, and swing states like Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire, Iowa, and Nevada. The result: a 269-269 tie.

Another scenario that could increase the likelihood of a tie: Obama maintains a win in his 2008 states and claims Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Maine, and Ohio as his. Neither candidate will have the necessary 270 electoral votes to win, if Romney manages to gain hold of Colorado, Virginia, and North Carolina. Again, another opportunity for a tie.

A tie in electoral votes means the presidency will be determined by the House of Representatives, even if a candidate wins the popular vote. It's a 208 year old process, outlined many years ago in the 12th Amendment. In what is known as a contingent election, during an electoral tie, the House will tally up all electoral votes in a special session of Congress. Votes are cast by delegations from every state, with one vote designated for each; thus, even a state with just one House member like Alaska, will bear as much power as California in selecting the president.

Currently, Republicans control twice as many state delegations than Democrats do in the House, roughly 33 to 16. Assuming that Republicans maintain an advantage in the next Congress, it is very likely Romney will prevail.

But here is where things get tricky. In the case of an electoral-vote tie, vice presidents are to be selected by the Senate. Each senator would cast one vote and a simple majority vote would determine the vice presidency. As Democrats may still control the U.S Senate next year, that could interestingly enough equal a Romney-Biden administration.

Poll Headlines is an independent organization striving to bring political junkies the latest in poll results and news headlines. We are not affiliated with any news organizations, political parties, or media networks. For news on the 2012 presidential election visit us at pollheadlines.com.


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